Prediction of COVID-19 Mortality in the Intensive Care Unit Using Machine Learning.

Since its emergence, the COVID-19 pandemic still poses a major global health threat. In this setting, a number of useful machine learning applications have been explored to assist clinical decision-making, predict the severity of disease and admission to the intensive care unit, and also to estimate future demand for hospital beds, equipment, and staff. The present study examined demographic data, hematological and biochemical markers routinely measured in Covid-19 patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of a public tertiary hospital, in relation to the ICU outcome, during the second and third Covid-19 waves, from October 2020 until February 2022. In this dataset, we applied eight well-known classifiers of the caret package for machine learning of the R programming language, to evaluate their performance in forecasting ICU mortality. The best performance regarding area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) was observed with Random Forest (0.82), while k-nearest neighbors (k-NN) were the lowest performing machine learning algorithm (AUC-ROC: 0.59). However, in terms of sensitivity, XGB outperformed the other classifiers (max Sens: 0.7). The six most important predictors of mortality in the Random Forest model were serum urea, age, hemoglobin, C-reactive protein, platelets, and lymphocyte count.

Analyzing Acute Care Surgery Patient Flow in the Emergency Department During COVID-19 Pandemic.

During the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of visits in emergency departments (ED) worldwide decreased significantly based on several studies. This study aims to compare the patient flow in the emergency surgery department during the COVID-19 pandemic and a control period in the emergency department of a public tertiary care hospital in Greece. The overall patient flow reduction regarding the ED visits between the two examined periods was 49.07%. The emergency surgery department's corresponding visits were 235 and 552, respectively, which indicated an overall patient flow decrease of 57.43%. Chi-square analysis showed that age groups and ambulance use had statistically significant associations with the periods examined. An independent samples t-test was applied and deduced that the average patient's age was statistically significantly higher in the COVID-19 pandemic than in the non-pandemic period. By analyzing hospital information system data, useful conclusions can be drawn to prepare a surgical emergency unit better and optimize resource allocation in a healthcare facility in similar critical situations.